Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Maranhão governorship due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios against Orleans Brandão (MDB), fueled by a split in the center-left coalition previously tied to Flávio Dino and Carlos Brandão. Recent surveys from July and August 2026, including Real Time Big Data and Veritás, show Braide ahead by double digits in several estimates, reflecting his pragmatic governance record and appeal to conservative voters without strong national alignments. Brandão benefits from MDB machinery and family ties but faces headwinds from the fractured base. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others register minimal support, keeping the contest focused on the top two. The October 2026 vote timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events, endorsements, or turnout dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Eduardo Braide 59%
Orleans Brandão 35%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$58,920 Vol.
$58,920 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
59%
Orleans Brandão
35%
Felipe Camarão
<1%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 59%
Orleans Brandão 35%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$58,920 Vol.
$58,920 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
$27,737 Vol.
59%
Orleans Brandão
$12,782 Vol.
35%
Felipe Camarão
$4,642 Vol.
<1%
André Luís
$5,426 Vol.
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,092 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$4,240 Vol.
<1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Maranhão governorship due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios against Orleans Brandão (MDB), fueled by a split in the center-left coalition previously tied to Flávio Dino and Carlos Brandão. Recent surveys from July and August 2026, including Real Time Big Data and Veritás, show Braide ahead by double digits in several estimates, reflecting his pragmatic governance record and appeal to conservative voters without strong national alignments. Brandão benefits from MDB machinery and family ties but faces headwinds from the fractured base. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others register minimal support, keeping the contest focused on the top two. The October 2026 vote timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events, endorsements, or turnout dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volumen
$58,920Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Maranhão governorship due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios against Orleans Brandão (MDB), fueled by a split in the center-left coalition previously tied to Flávio Dino and Carlos Brandão. Recent surveys from July and August 2026, including Real Time Big Data and Veritás, show Braide ahead by double digits in several estimates, reflecting his pragmatic governance record and appeal to conservative voters without strong national alignments. Brandão benefits from MDB machinery and family ties but faces headwinds from the fractured base. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others register minimal support, keeping the contest focused on the top two. The October 2026 vote timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events, endorsements, or turnout dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$58,920Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former São Luís mayor, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Maranhão governorship due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios against Orleans Brandão (MDB), fueled by a split in the center-left coalition previously tied to Flávio Dino and Carlos Brandão. Recent surveys from July and August 2026, including Real Time Big Data and Veritás, show Braide ahead by double digits in several estimates, reflecting his pragmatic governance record and appeal to conservative voters without strong national alignments. Brandão benefits from MDB machinery and family ties but faces headwinds from the fractured base. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others register minimal support, keeping the contest focused on the top two. The October 2026 vote timeline leaves room for shifts from campaign events, endorsements, or turnout dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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