Allyson Bezerra maintains a commanding position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 37–42% in surveys from April through mid-August 2026, well ahead of rivals such as Cadu Xavier and Álvaro Dias. Her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil formalized a broad center-right coalition that includes MDB support, enhancing her path to a first-round majority on October 4. Bezerra’s resignation from the Mossoró mayoralty in March 2026 allowed full-time campaigning, reinforcing her frontrunner status through high name recognition and statewide outreach. Traders assign lower probabilities to Cadu de Lula and other names because they trail significantly in voter intention data and lack comparable coalition breadth, though the first-round format and any late shifts in turnout or alliances could still influence the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAllyson 75%
Cadu de Lula 19%
Álvaro Dias 7%
Profesor Roberio Paulino 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Allyson
75%
Cadu de Lula
19%
Álvaro Dias
7%
Profesor Roberio Paulino
2%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
1%
Henrique Lyra
1%
Carlos Jararaca
1%
Arinalda do MLB
<1%
Dário Barbosa
<1%
Allyson 75%
Cadu de Lula 19%
Álvaro Dias 7%
Profesor Roberio Paulino 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Allyson
$1,612 Vol.
75%
Cadu de Lula
$382 Vol.
19%
Álvaro Dias
$219 Vol.
7%
Profesor Roberio Paulino
$251 Vol.
2%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$261 Vol.
1%
Henrique Lyra
$262 Vol.
1%
Carlos Jararaca
$240 Vol.
1%
Arinalda do MLB
$237 Vol.
<1%
Dário Barbosa
$229 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra maintains a commanding position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 37–42% in surveys from April through mid-August 2026, well ahead of rivals such as Cadu Xavier and Álvaro Dias. Her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil formalized a broad center-right coalition that includes MDB support, enhancing her path to a first-round majority on October 4. Bezerra’s resignation from the Mossoró mayoralty in March 2026 allowed full-time campaigning, reinforcing her frontrunner status through high name recognition and statewide outreach. Traders assign lower probabilities to Cadu de Lula and other names because they trail significantly in voter intention data and lack comparable coalition breadth, though the first-round format and any late shifts in turnout or alliances could still influence the outcome before election day.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$3,691Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra maintains a commanding position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 37–42% in surveys from April through mid-August 2026, well ahead of rivals such as Cadu Xavier and Álvaro Dias. Her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil formalized a broad center-right coalition that includes MDB support, enhancing her path to a first-round majority on October 4. Bezerra’s resignation from the Mossoró mayoralty in March 2026 allowed full-time campaigning, reinforcing her frontrunner status through high name recognition and statewide outreach. Traders assign lower probabilities to Cadu de Lula and other names because they trail significantly in voter intention data and lack comparable coalition breadth, though the first-round format and any late shifts in turnout or alliances could still influence the outcome before election day.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,691Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra maintains a commanding position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 37–42% in surveys from April through mid-August 2026, well ahead of rivals such as Cadu Xavier and Álvaro Dias. Her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil formalized a broad center-right coalition that includes MDB support, enhancing her path to a first-round majority on October 4. Bezerra’s resignation from the Mossoró mayoralty in March 2026 allowed full-time campaigning, reinforcing her frontrunner status through high name recognition and statewide outreach. Traders assign lower probabilities to Cadu de Lula and other names because they trail significantly in voter intention data and lack comparable coalition breadth, though the first-round format and any late shifts in turnout or alliances could still influence the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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