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icon for Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar

icon for Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 18.0%

Mendonça Filho 7.4%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 18.0%

Mendonça Filho 7.4%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$3,889 Vol.

73%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$412 Vol.

18%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$146 Vol.

7%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$146 Vol.

4%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$143 Vol.

4%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$174 Vol.

3%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$168 Vol.

3%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$146 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$143 Vol.

1%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$146 Vol.

1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$146 Vol.

1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$154 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,815
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,815
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marília Arraes" con 73%, seguido de "Humberto Costa" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar" es "Marília Arraes" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Humberto Costa" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección Senado Pernambuco: 1er Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.