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icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Eduardo Gomes 79%

Ronaldo Dimas 11.8%

Nilton Santos 5.4%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Eduardo Gomes 79%

Ronaldo Dimas 11.8%

Nilton Santos 5.4%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$3,768 Vol.

79%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$170 Vol.

7%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$152 Vol.

5%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$119 Vol.

5%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$139 Vol.

5%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$139 Vol.

5%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$138 Vol.

4%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$139 Vol.

4%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$139 Vol.

4%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$139 Vol.

4%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$121 Vol.

4%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$129 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$139 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,431
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,431
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

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¿Alexandre Guimarães obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Tocantins en 2026?

53%
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icon for ¿Michelle Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

¿Michelle Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

60%
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Gomes" con 79%, seguido de "Ronaldo Dimas" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 79¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es "Eduardo Gomes" con 79%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ronaldo Dimas" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.