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icon for Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 18%

Delegado Alessandro 14.1%

Rodrigo Valadares 11%

Polymarket

$14,026 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 18%

Delegado Alessandro 14.1%

Rodrigo Valadares 11%

Polymarket

$14,026 Vol.

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$3,772 Vol.

24%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$1,740 Vol.

18%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$1,225 Vol.

14%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$770 Vol.

11%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$1,158 Vol.

11%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$1,490 Vol.

9%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$407 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$685 Vol.

1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Sergipe Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, traders see a wide-open contest for second place amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates.** Recent polls from May through mid-August, including those by INOR, Visão Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and CTAS, consistently show high undecided and blank/null responses—often exceeding 30-50% for the second vote—while top contenders like Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL) trade narrow leads or cluster within margins of error. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility for second place, as voter preferences split across party alliances, incumbency advantages, and regional strongholds without a clear consolidation around any single challenger. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formalizations in August have not yet produced decisive shifts, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to upcoming campaign events, further surveys, or late developments in the concurrent gubernatorial contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$14,026
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Sergipe Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, traders see a wide-open contest for second place amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates.** Recent polls from May through mid-August, including those by INOR, Visão Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and CTAS, consistently show high undecided and blank/null responses—often exceeding 30-50% for the second vote—while top contenders like Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL) trade narrow leads or cluster within margins of error. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility for second place, as voter preferences split across party alliances, incumbency advantages, and regional strongholds without a clear consolidation around any single challenger. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formalizations in August have not yet produced decisive shifts, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to upcoming campaign events, further surveys, or late developments in the concurrent gubernatorial contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$14,026
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rogerio Carvalho" con 24%, seguido de "André Moura" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar" ha generado $14K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar" es "Rogerio Carvalho" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "André Moura" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Sergipe: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.