Recent polls, including Quaest from late July and Real Time Big Data from early August 2026, consistently place Helder Barbalho (MDB) first and Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) second in Pará’s two-seat Senate race, with Mauro drawing consolidated support from right-leaning and bolsonarista voters while Helder benefits from Lula-aligned and MDB networks. This positioning has sustained Mauro’s lead in the market for second place. Multiple other pre-candidates remain in single digits or lower, reflecting a fragmented field and limited recent shifts in voter intention. With voting still months away, further consolidation among center-right options or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could alter second-place probabilities before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar
Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar
Delegado Éder Mauro 60%
Zequinha Marinho 15%
Celso Sabino 14%
Helder 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
60%
Zequinha Marinho
12%
Celso Sabino
14%
Helder
7%
Breno Guimarães
6%
Willem da Silva
6%
Fernanda Lopes
6%
Conti
4%
Gizelle Freitas
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
3%
Chicão
2%
Delegado Éder Mauro 60%
Zequinha Marinho 15%
Celso Sabino 14%
Helder 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$1,421 Vol.
60%
Zequinha Marinho
$144 Vol.
12%
Celso Sabino
$102 Vol.
14%
Helder
$147 Vol.
7%
Breno Guimarães
$114 Vol.
6%
Willem da Silva
$102 Vol.
6%
Fernanda Lopes
$132 Vol.
6%
Conti
$168 Vol.
4%
Gizelle Freitas
$182 Vol.
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$102 Vol.
3%
Chicão
$118 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Quaest from late July and Real Time Big Data from early August 2026, consistently place Helder Barbalho (MDB) first and Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) second in Pará’s two-seat Senate race, with Mauro drawing consolidated support from right-leaning and bolsonarista voters while Helder benefits from Lula-aligned and MDB networks. This positioning has sustained Mauro’s lead in the market for second place. Multiple other pre-candidates remain in single digits or lower, reflecting a fragmented field and limited recent shifts in voter intention. With voting still months away, further consolidation among center-right options or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could alter second-place probabilities before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volumen
$2,733Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Quaest from late July and Real Time Big Data from early August 2026, consistently place Helder Barbalho (MDB) first and Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) second in Pará’s two-seat Senate race, with Mauro drawing consolidated support from right-leaning and bolsonarista voters while Helder benefits from Lula-aligned and MDB networks. This positioning has sustained Mauro’s lead in the market for second place. Multiple other pre-candidates remain in single digits or lower, reflecting a fragmented field and limited recent shifts in voter intention. With voting still months away, further consolidation among center-right options or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could alter second-place probabilities before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$2,733Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Quaest from late July and Real Time Big Data from early August 2026, consistently place Helder Barbalho (MDB) first and Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) second in Pará’s two-seat Senate race, with Mauro drawing consolidated support from right-leaning and bolsonarista voters while Helder benefits from Lula-aligned and MDB networks. This positioning has sustained Mauro’s lead in the market for second place. Multiple other pre-candidates remain in single digits or lower, reflecting a fragmented field and limited recent shifts in voter intention. With voting still months away, further consolidation among center-right options or changes in turnout patterns among key blocs could alter second-place probabilities before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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