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icon for Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Plinio Valério 19%

Eduardo Braga 13%

Wilson Lima 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Plinio Valério 19%

Eduardo Braga 13%

Wilson Lima 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$583 Vol.

56%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$84 Vol.

19%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$121 Vol.

13%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$80 Vol.

7%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$80 Vol.

7%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$99 Vol.

7%

icon for Profesora Evany

Profesora Evany

$75 Vol.

6%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$72 Vol.

5%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$80 Vol.

2%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel, DMP, and Projeta shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat in the October 4 election, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB), with margins under five points in the latest surveys. This fragmentation stems from a crowded field of nine declared candidates, shifting voter preferences across party lines, and the mechanics of voters selecting two names, which amplifies small swings in turnout or regional support. Trader consensus pricing Alberto Neto highest for second reflects his consistent polling edge in recent weeks, yet the narrow gaps leave room for late campaign events or alliance shifts to reorder the peloton before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,274
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel, DMP, and Projeta shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat in the October 4 election, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB), with margins under five points in the latest surveys. This fragmentation stems from a crowded field of nine declared candidates, shifting voter preferences across party lines, and the mechanics of voters selecting two names, which amplifies small swings in turnout or regional support. Trader consensus pricing Alberto Neto highest for second reflects his consistent polling edge in recent weeks, yet the narrow gaps leave room for late campaign events or alliance shifts to reorder the peloton before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,274
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

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¿Eduardo Braga obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Amazonas de 2026?

59%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Delegado Éder Mauro la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Pará en 2026?

¿Obtendrá Delegado Éder Mauro la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Pará en 2026?

63%
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icon for ¿Bia Kicis obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

¿Bia Kicis obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

27%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Capitão Alberto Neto" con 56%, seguido de "Plinio Valério" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es "Capitão Alberto Neto" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Plinio Valério" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.