Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to his incumbency advantage, broad coalition backing under Força Amazonas, and consistent polling strength, most recently showing him at 25% or higher in July surveys—well ahead of rivals. The fragmented field for the second seat, featuring Plínio Valério, Wilson Lima, Capitão Alberto Neto, and others, has kept their probabilities clustered near 50% as traders await further consolidation or late shifts before the October 4, 2026 vote. Recent candidacy registrations and limited new polling data have reinforced Braga's position without major disruptions, reflecting trader consensus on his frontrunner status amid the state's two-seat contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEduardo Braga 62%
Plinio Valério 22%
Wilson Lima 20%
Capitão Alberto Neto 18%

Eduardo Braga
62%

Plinio Valério
22%

Wilson Lima
20%

Capitão Alberto Neto
18%

Xuxa do Amazonas
18%

Ismael Munduruku
7%

Profesora Evany
7%

Dailson Corrêa
6%

Evandro de Oliveira
3%
Eduardo Braga 62%
Plinio Valério 22%
Wilson Lima 20%
Capitão Alberto Neto 18%

Eduardo Braga
62%

Plinio Valério
22%

Wilson Lima
20%

Capitão Alberto Neto
18%

Xuxa do Amazonas
18%

Ismael Munduruku
7%

Profesora Evany
7%

Dailson Corrêa
6%

Evandro de Oliveira
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to his incumbency advantage, broad coalition backing under Força Amazonas, and consistent polling strength, most recently showing him at 25% or higher in July surveys—well ahead of rivals. The fragmented field for the second seat, featuring Plínio Valério, Wilson Lima, Capitão Alberto Neto, and others, has kept their probabilities clustered near 50% as traders await further consolidation or late shifts before the October 4, 2026 vote. Recent candidacy registrations and limited new polling data have reinforced Braga's position without major disruptions, reflecting trader consensus on his frontrunner status amid the state's two-seat contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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