**Obafemi Hamzat leads the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market at 71% because he secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a direct primary, winning 657,917 votes against a single-vote challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew.** Successive endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the Lagos APC Governance Advisory Council, and President Bola Tinubu (most recently reaffirmed in late August 2026) consolidated party support behind the incumbent deputy governor. The APC’s unbroken control of the state since 1999 and its dominant structure in local government areas underpin the strong trader pricing for continuity. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore and Rhodes-Vivour, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party’s machinery typically determines outcomes. No major primary disputes or defections have emerged in the past 30 days to shift the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoObafemi Hamzat 71%
Sowore Robert 11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
71%
Sowore Robert
11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
6%
Adedeji Doherty
5%
Naheem Balogun
5%
Funso Doherty
5%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
5%
Femi Olaniyi
3%
Laja Adeoye
3%
Obafemi Hamzat 71%
Sowore Robert 11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 feb 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
$309 Vol.
71%
Sowore Robert
$80 Vol.
11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
$74 Vol.
7%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
$71 Vol.
6%
Adedeji Doherty
$71 Vol.
5%
Naheem Balogun
$71 Vol.
5%
Funso Doherty
$71 Vol.
5%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
$71 Vol.
5%
Femi Olaniyi
$71 Vol.
3%
Laja Adeoye
$71 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Obafemi Hamzat leads the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market at 71% because he secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a direct primary, winning 657,917 votes against a single-vote challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew.** Successive endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the Lagos APC Governance Advisory Council, and President Bola Tinubu (most recently reaffirmed in late August 2026) consolidated party support behind the incumbent deputy governor. The APC’s unbroken control of the state since 1999 and its dominant structure in local government areas underpin the strong trader pricing for continuity. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore and Rhodes-Vivour, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party’s machinery typically determines outcomes. No major primary disputes or defections have emerged in the past 30 days to shift the implied probabilities.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volumen
$958Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Obafemi Hamzat leads the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market at 71% because he secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a direct primary, winning 657,917 votes against a single-vote challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew.** Successive endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the Lagos APC Governance Advisory Council, and President Bola Tinubu (most recently reaffirmed in late August 2026) consolidated party support behind the incumbent deputy governor. The APC’s unbroken control of the state since 1999 and its dominant structure in local government areas underpin the strong trader pricing for continuity. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore and Rhodes-Vivour, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party’s machinery typically determines outcomes. No major primary disputes or defections have emerged in the past 30 days to shift the implied probabilities.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$958Fecha de finalización
6 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Obafemi Hamzat leads the Lagos 2027 gubernatorial market at 71% because he secured the APC nomination in May 2026 through a direct primary, winning 657,917 votes against a single-vote challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew.** Successive endorsements from Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the Lagos APC Governance Advisory Council, and President Bola Tinubu (most recently reaffirmed in late August 2026) consolidated party support behind the incumbent deputy governor. The APC’s unbroken control of the state since 1999 and its dominant structure in local government areas underpin the strong trader pricing for continuity. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore and Rhodes-Vivour, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party’s machinery typically determines outcomes. No major primary disputes or defections have emerged in the past 30 days to shift the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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