Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This aligns with established August climatology for the North China Plain, where mean highs typically reach 30–32°C amid residual subtropical high influence and southerly flow. Recent observational trends through mid-to-late August show consistent readings near or above 32°C despite scattered showers. A realistic challenge would require substantially heavier cloud cover or prolonged rainfall than currently modeled to suppress the diurnal temperature range, though ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such an outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 Vol.
$7,323 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 Vol.
$7,323 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$732 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This aligns with established August climatology for the North China Plain, where mean highs typically reach 30–32°C amid residual subtropical high influence and southerly flow. Recent observational trends through mid-to-late August show consistent readings near or above 32°C despite scattered showers. A realistic challenge would require substantially heavier cloud cover or prolonged rainfall than currently modeled to suppress the diurnal temperature range, though ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,323Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This aligns with established August climatology for the North China Plain, where mean highs typically reach 30–32°C amid residual subtropical high influence and southerly flow. Recent observational trends through mid-to-late August show consistent readings near or above 32°C despite scattered showers. A realistic challenge would require substantially heavier cloud cover or prolonged rainfall than currently modeled to suppress the diurnal temperature range, though ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,323Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23 because numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This aligns with established August climatology for the North China Plain, where mean highs typically reach 30–32°C amid residual subtropical high influence and southerly flow. Recent observational trends through mid-to-late August show consistent readings near or above 32°C despite scattered showers. A realistic challenge would require substantially heavier cloud cover or prolonged rainfall than currently modeled to suppress the diurnal temperature range, though ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such an outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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