Strong model consensus and real-time observations from sources like the National Meteorological Center underpin the 100% market-implied odds for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23. Late-summer conditions in this humid subtropical region feature typical overnight lows of 23–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate northeasterly winds, with early-day readings already stabilizing near 26–28°C. Historical August baselines and ensemble forecasts show no significant cooling mechanisms such as anomalous cold advection or prolonged heavy precipitation capable of dropping the minimum below threshold. Only an abrupt, unexpected model revision introducing a sharp frontal passage could realistically alter this positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
25°C or higher 100.0%
24°C 19%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$776 Vol.
$776 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
24°C 19%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$776 Vol.
$776 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
No
16°C
$25 Vol.
No
17°C
$25 Vol.
No
18°C
$25 Vol.
No
19°C
$25 Vol.
No
20°C
$25 Vol.
No
21°C
$25 Vol.
No
22°C
$40 Vol.
No
23°C
$115 Vol.
No
24°C
$97 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$353 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from sources like the National Meteorological Center underpin the 100% market-implied odds for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23. Late-summer conditions in this humid subtropical region feature typical overnight lows of 23–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate northeasterly winds, with early-day readings already stabilizing near 26–28°C. Historical August baselines and ensemble forecasts show no significant cooling mechanisms such as anomalous cold advection or prolonged heavy precipitation capable of dropping the minimum below threshold. Only an abrupt, unexpected model revision introducing a sharp frontal passage could realistically alter this positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$776Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from sources like the National Meteorological Center underpin the 100% market-implied odds for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23. Late-summer conditions in this humid subtropical region feature typical overnight lows of 23–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate northeasterly winds, with early-day readings already stabilizing near 26–28°C. Historical August baselines and ensemble forecasts show no significant cooling mechanisms such as anomalous cold advection or prolonged heavy precipitation capable of dropping the minimum below threshold. Only an abrupt, unexpected model revision introducing a sharp frontal passage could realistically alter this positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$776Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Strong model consensus and real-time observations from sources like the National Meteorological Center underpin the 100% market-implied odds for a daily minimum of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23. Late-summer conditions in this humid subtropical region feature typical overnight lows of 23–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate northeasterly winds, with early-day readings already stabilizing near 26–28°C. Historical August baselines and ensemble forecasts show no significant cooling mechanisms such as anomalous cold advection or prolonged heavy precipitation capable of dropping the minimum below threshold. Only an abrupt, unexpected model revision introducing a sharp frontal passage could realistically alter this positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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