Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 61%
17°C 24%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
61%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 24%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
10°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$387 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$258 Vol.
1%
14°C
$272 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,628 Vol.
14%
16°C
$384 Vol.
61%
17°C
$230 Vol.
24%
18°C
$106 Vol.
4%
19°C
$212 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,289Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,289Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a northwest flow over Wellington on September 2, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and strong winds supporting daytime warming above seasonal norms near 13–14°C. This setup favors a peak temperature in the 15–17°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C. Northwest winds advect milder Tasman air while clear periods enhance insolation during spring’s lengthening daylight; however, model spread and potential for increased cloud or timing shifts introduce uncertainty around exact maxima. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern will be key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes