Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies currently indicate a sunny day with a high near 28°C for Toronto on August 4, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. These values align closely with early August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 26–27°C, though 2026's broader seasonal warmth has kept temperatures slightly elevated overall. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, narrowing the probability of outliers below 26°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours will refine exact maximum readings recorded at official stations, directly influencing final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 4 de agosto?
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
29°C 3%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
52%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
29°C 3%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
52%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies currently indicate a sunny day with a high near 28°C for Toronto on August 4, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. These values align closely with early August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 26–27°C, though 2026's broader seasonal warmth has kept temperatures slightly elevated overall. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, narrowing the probability of outliers below 26°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance over the next 12–24 hours will refine exact maximum readings recorded at official stations, directly influencing final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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