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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?

34°C 40%

33°C 28%

35°C 14%

32°C 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

34°C 40%

33°C 28%

35°C 14%

32°C 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

28°C or below

$71 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$57 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$775 Vol.

1%

31°C

$501 Vol.

4%

32°C

$1,068 Vol.

11%

33°C

$3,680 Vol.

28%

34°C

$488 Vol.

40%

35°C

$1,221 Vol.

14%

36°C

$622 Vol.

4%

37°C

$72 Vol.

1%

38°C or higher

$225 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai highs near 34°C on August 5 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could limit peak readings. Trader emphasis on 34°C and 33°C reflects model consensus showing slight cooling from recent 37–38°C peaks, alongside normal August climatology of 31–35°C daytime maxima and no strong warming signals from regional pressure patterns. Updated guidance through early August highlights potential for brief convective activity to cap temperatures below extreme thresholds, supporting the current market distribution while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute forecast shifts in steering flow or moisture.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,778
Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai highs near 34°C on August 5 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could limit peak readings. Trader emphasis on 34°C and 33°C reflects model consensus showing slight cooling from recent 37–38°C peaks, alongside normal August climatology of 31–35°C daytime maxima and no strong warming signals from regional pressure patterns. Updated guidance through early August highlights potential for brief convective activity to cap temperatures below extreme thresholds, supporting the current market distribution while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute forecast shifts in steering flow or moisture.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,778
Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "34°C" con 40%, seguido de "33°C" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?" es "34°C" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "33°C" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.