Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET, AccuWeather, and timeanddate converge on clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over São Paulo on August 18, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–31°C—well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Stable high-pressure systems across southeastern Brazil have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, enhancing daytime solar heating and elevating surface temperatures. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, positioning 31°C and 30°C as the modal outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. Traders are weighting these consensus projections heavily, while lower-probability extremes reflect low risk of significant model shifts or late-day frontal passages before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 18 de agosto?
31°C 49%
30°C 32%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
32%
31°C
49%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 49%
30°C 32%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$336 Vol.
1%
28°C
$679 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,167 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,289 Vol.
32%
31°C
$2,435 Vol.
49%
32°C
$1,111 Vol.
13%
33°C
$670 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$433 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET, AccuWeather, and timeanddate converge on clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over São Paulo on August 18, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–31°C—well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Stable high-pressure systems across southeastern Brazil have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, enhancing daytime solar heating and elevating surface temperatures. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, positioning 31°C and 30°C as the modal outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. Traders are weighting these consensus projections heavily, while lower-probability extremes reflect low risk of significant model shifts or late-day frontal passages before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volumen
$9,400Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET, AccuWeather, and timeanddate converge on clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over São Paulo on August 18, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–31°C—well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Stable high-pressure systems across southeastern Brazil have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, enhancing daytime solar heating and elevating surface temperatures. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, positioning 31°C and 30°C as the modal outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. Traders are weighting these consensus projections heavily, while lower-probability extremes reflect low risk of significant model shifts or late-day frontal passages before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,400Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET, AccuWeather, and timeanddate converge on clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over São Paulo on August 18, supporting maximum temperatures of 28–31°C—well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Stable high-pressure systems across southeastern Brazil have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, enhancing daytime solar heating and elevating surface temperatures. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, positioning 31°C and 30°C as the modal outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. Traders are weighting these consensus projections heavily, while lower-probability extremes reflect low risk of significant model shifts or late-day frontal passages before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes