Official observations from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) and nearby stations recorded a daily maximum of 73 °F on July 31, 2026, under persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow that limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with the 72–73 °F resolution bin, driving the market-implied probability to 100 % as traders incorporated verified station data. Historical July averages near 70–71 °F and recent model guidance clustering in the low-70s further reinforced the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an official measurement revision or use of an alternate station reporting outside that narrow range, though such discrepancies are rare once National Weather Service data finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 31 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 31 de julio?
72-73°F 99.7%
76-77°F <1%
63°F o menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,533 Vol.
$35,533 Vol.
31 jul 2026
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 99.7%
76-77°F <1%
63°F o menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,533 Vol.
$35,533 Vol.
31 jul 2026
63°F o menos
$819 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$546 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$8,084 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,354 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,059 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,907 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,418 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,666 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,539 Vol.
<1%
82°F o más
$523 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) and nearby stations recorded a daily maximum of 73 °F on July 31, 2026, under persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow that limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with the 72–73 °F resolution bin, driving the market-implied probability to 100 % as traders incorporated verified station data. Historical July averages near 70–71 °F and recent model guidance clustering in the low-70s further reinforced the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an official measurement revision or use of an alternate station reporting outside that narrow range, though such discrepancies are rare once National Weather Service data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volumen
$35,533Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) and nearby stations recorded a daily maximum of 73 °F on July 31, 2026, under persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow that limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with the 72–73 °F resolution bin, driving the market-implied probability to 100 % as traders incorporated verified station data. Historical July averages near 70–71 °F and recent model guidance clustering in the low-70s further reinforced the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an official measurement revision or use of an alternate station reporting outside that narrow range, though such discrepancies are rare once National Weather Service data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35,533Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) and nearby stations recorded a daily maximum of 73 °F on July 31, 2026, under persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow that limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with the 72–73 °F resolution bin, driving the market-implied probability to 100 % as traders incorporated verified station data. Historical July averages near 70–71 °F and recent model guidance clustering in the low-70s further reinforced the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an official measurement revision or use of an alternate station reporting outside that narrow range, though such discrepancies are rare once National Weather Service data finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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