Traders see 30°C and 31°C as nearly equal favorites for Panama City’s August 18 daily maximum because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster around that narrow range amid typical rainy-season conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and high humidity moderate daytime heating, while light trade winds limit rapid warming. Recent model runs show slight differences in timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture that could tip the peak by 1 °C. Historical August maxima average near 31 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, supporting the tight distribution; any late-day clearing or delayed rain would favor the higher outcome, whereas earlier or heavier showers would cap temperatures closer to 30 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 18 de agosto?
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 30°C and 31°C as nearly equal favorites for Panama City’s August 18 daily maximum because official forecasts and ensemble models cluster around that narrow range amid typical rainy-season conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and high humidity moderate daytime heating, while light trade winds limit rapid warming. Recent model runs show slight differences in timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture that could tip the peak by 1 °C. Historical August maxima average near 31 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, supporting the tight distribution; any late-day clearing or delayed rain would favor the higher outcome, whereas earlier or heavier showers would cap temperatures closer to 30 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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