**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 4 de agosto?
34°C o menos 33%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
34°C o menos
33%
35°C
28%
36°C
29%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
34°C o menos 33%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
34°C o menos
$307 Vol.
33%
35°C
$262 Vol.
28%
36°C
$322 Vol.
29%
37°C
$179 Vol.
7%
38°C
$287 Vol.
3%
39°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
44°C o más
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,217Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,217Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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