The market's near-certain positioning on 26°C stems from official meteorological observations confirming that exact daily maximum across Mexico City stations on August 17, 2026. High-elevation urban conditions, typical mid-August rainy-season cloud cover, and afternoon convection limited further warming, aligning with climatological baselines around 24–25°C. Real-time model guidance from agencies like CONAGUA and international ensembles converged on this outcome ahead of the date, and post-event verification by standardized surface networks has removed remaining uncertainty. Only unresolved station calibration differences or rare microclimate anomalies could alter resolution, though multiple independent measurements make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 17 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,004 Vol.
$19,004 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,004 Vol.
$19,004 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain positioning on 26°C stems from official meteorological observations confirming that exact daily maximum across Mexico City stations on August 17, 2026. High-elevation urban conditions, typical mid-August rainy-season cloud cover, and afternoon convection limited further warming, aligning with climatological baselines around 24–25°C. Real-time model guidance from agencies like CONAGUA and international ensembles converged on this outcome ahead of the date, and post-event verification by standardized surface networks has removed remaining uncertainty. Only unresolved station calibration differences or rare microclimate anomalies could alter resolution, though multiple independent measurements make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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