Recent Met Office forecasts position a 21°C high as the most likely outcome for London on September 8, with breezy westerly winds and light rain risk limiting daytime warming after Monday’s warmer conditions. Model consensus from multiple runs supports highs near 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology where averages reach 19–20°C. Trader positioning favors 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting slight downside bias from expected cloud cover and showers, while 19°C and 21°C options cluster near 22% each amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming updated model guidance and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 8 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 8 de septiembre?
20°C 38%
21°C 25%
19°C 23%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
23%
20°C
38%
21°C
25%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
20°C 38%
21°C 25%
19°C 23%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$503 Vol.
1%
17°C
$56 Vol.
3%
18°C
$311 Vol.
6%
19°C
$831 Vol.
23%
20°C
$746 Vol.
38%
21°C
$808 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,484 Vol.
7%
23°C
$198 Vol.
3%
24°C
$6 Vol.
1%
25°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 21°C high as the most likely outcome for London on September 8, with breezy westerly winds and light rain risk limiting daytime warming after Monday’s warmer conditions. Model consensus from multiple runs supports highs near 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology where averages reach 19–20°C. Trader positioning favors 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting slight downside bias from expected cloud cover and showers, while 19°C and 21°C options cluster near 22% each amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming updated model guidance and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$6,390Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 21°C high as the most likely outcome for London on September 8, with breezy westerly winds and light rain risk limiting daytime warming after Monday’s warmer conditions. Model consensus from multiple runs supports highs near 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology where averages reach 19–20°C. Trader positioning favors 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting slight downside bias from expected cloud cover and showers, while 19°C and 21°C options cluster near 22% each amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming updated model guidance and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,390Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts position a 21°C high as the most likely outcome for London on September 8, with breezy westerly winds and light rain risk limiting daytime warming after Monday’s warmer conditions. Model consensus from multiple runs supports highs near 20–21°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology where averages reach 19–20°C. Trader positioning favors 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting slight downside bias from expected cloud cover and showers, while 19°C and 21°C options cluster near 22% each amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming updated model guidance and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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