Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, center on highs of 95–96°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 46.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical early-September Central Texas conditions—warm, moist southerly flow beneath weak high pressure—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance holding temperatures in the mid-90s and only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or brief convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore persistent moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum. With resolution based on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation the following day, traders are weighting the narrow forecast consensus while monitoring any last-minute NWS updates for shifts into the 92–93°F or 96–97°F ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de septiembre?
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 25%
96-97°F 23%
98-99 °F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
85°F o menos
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
48%
96-97°F
23%
98-99 °F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F o más
<1%
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 25%
96-97°F 23%
98-99 °F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
85°F o menos
$510 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$355 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$33 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$225 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$307 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$1,194 Vol.
48%
96-97°F
$1,960 Vol.
23%
98-99 °F
$505 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$148 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$40 Vol.
1%
104°F o más
$374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, center on highs of 95–96°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 46.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical early-September Central Texas conditions—warm, moist southerly flow beneath weak high pressure—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance holding temperatures in the mid-90s and only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or brief convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore persistent moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum. With resolution based on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation the following day, traders are weighting the narrow forecast consensus while monitoring any last-minute NWS updates for shifts into the 92–93°F or 96–97°F ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,653Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, center on highs of 95–96°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 46.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical early-September Central Texas conditions—warm, moist southerly flow beneath weak high pressure—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance holding temperatures in the mid-90s and only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or brief convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore persistent moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum. With resolution based on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation the following day, traders are weighting the narrow forecast consensus while monitoring any last-minute NWS updates for shifts into the 92–93°F or 96–97°F ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,653Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, center on highs of 95–96°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s leading 94–95°F bin at 46.5% implied probability. This outlook reflects typical early-September Central Texas conditions—warm, moist southerly flow beneath weak high pressure—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance holding temperatures in the mid-90s and only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or brief convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore persistent moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum. With resolution based on the official Austin-Bergstrom observation the following day, traders are weighting the narrow forecast consensus while monitoring any last-minute NWS updates for shifts into the 92–93°F or 96–97°F ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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