Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 5 de septiembre?
19°C 50%
20°C 41%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,461 Vol.
$47,461 Vol.
5 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
50%
20°C
41%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 50%
20°C 41%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,461 Vol.
$47,461 Vol.
5 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$381 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$16,324 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,798 Vol.
8%
19°C
$8,145 Vol.
50%
20°C
$8,984 Vol.
41%
21°C
$3,734 Vol.
5%
22°C
$2,460 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$47,461Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$47,461Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5 of 19–20°C, driven by moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with early September climatology near the 20.3°C historical average high at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear skies to push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Traders appear to be incorporating the latest observational trends and short-term guidance, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given stable steering patterns and absence of atypical synoptic features.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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