Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico points to a Monday minimum in Mexico City around 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiational cooling overnight. These conditions stem from a weak trough and moisture influx that limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with typical September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for partial clearing that could drop readings several degrees lower, while stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could push the minimum toward 16–18 °C. Official station data from the Mexico City basin will resolve the market, with the next model update cycle providing the clearest signal before sunset on the 6th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 7 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 7 de septiembre?
18°C o más 69%
8°C o menos 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
8°C o menos
59%
9°C
42%
10°C
42%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C o más
69%
18°C o más 69%
8°C o menos 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$0 Vol.
59%
9°C
$0 Vol.
42%
10°C
$0 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C o más
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico points to a Monday minimum in Mexico City around 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiational cooling overnight. These conditions stem from a weak trough and moisture influx that limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with typical September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for partial clearing that could drop readings several degrees lower, while stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could push the minimum toward 16–18 °C. Official station data from the Mexico City basin will resolve the market, with the next model update cycle providing the clearest signal before sunset on the 6th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico points to a Monday minimum in Mexico City around 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiational cooling overnight. These conditions stem from a weak trough and moisture influx that limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with typical September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for partial clearing that could drop readings several degrees lower, while stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could push the minimum toward 16–18 °C. Official station data from the Mexico City basin will resolve the market, with the next model update cycle providing the clearest signal before sunset on the 6th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico points to a Monday minimum in Mexico City around 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiational cooling overnight. These conditions stem from a weak trough and moisture influx that limit clear-sky heat loss, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with typical September climatology of 10–12 °C lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for partial clearing that could drop readings several degrees lower, while stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could push the minimum toward 16–18 °C. Official station data from the Mexico City basin will resolve the market, with the next model update cycle providing the clearest signal before sunset on the 6th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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