Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 6 de septiembre?
24°C 46%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C o más 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
28%
26°C o más
5%
24°C 46%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C o más 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$515 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
2%
21°C
$73 Vol.
2%
22°C
$113 Vol.
5%
23°C
$131 Vol.
19%
24°C
$1,178 Vol.
46%
25°C
$664 Vol.
28%
26°C o más
$457 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,845Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,845Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Yr.no and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the ongoing rainy season that brings afternoon cloud cover and showers capable of limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with recent early-month rainfall patterns—marked by localized flooding and fallen trees—reinforcing expectations of similar suppression rather than clear-sky warming. Trader-implied probabilities, heavily weighted toward 23–25°C, align with this consensus from ensemble guidance while assigning low odds to outliers above 26°C or below 22°C absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes