California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following voter approval of Proposition 50 in late 2025, which enacted new legislative maps replacing the prior independent commission lines for the 2026 cycle. The changes added Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of the Coachella Valley and north San Diego County while removing some Republican strongholds, converting the open seat—vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa—into a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember backed by the DCCC Red to Blue program, advanced alongside Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects the structural advantage from redistricting and the open-seat dynamics, tempered by the remaining campaign period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-48 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-48 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,192 Vol.
$28,192 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
10%
$28,192 Vol.
$28,192 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,871 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$13,321 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following voter approval of Proposition 50 in late 2025, which enacted new legislative maps replacing the prior independent commission lines for the 2026 cycle. The changes added Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of the Coachella Valley and north San Diego County while removing some Republican strongholds, converting the open seat—vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa—into a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember backed by the DCCC Red to Blue program, advanced alongside Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects the structural advantage from redistricting and the open-seat dynamics, tempered by the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$28,192Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following voter approval of Proposition 50 in late 2025, which enacted new legislative maps replacing the prior independent commission lines for the 2026 cycle. The changes added Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of the Coachella Valley and north San Diego County while removing some Republican strongholds, converting the open seat—vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa—into a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember backed by the DCCC Red to Blue program, advanced alongside Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects the structural advantage from redistricting and the open-seat dynamics, tempered by the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,192Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats following voter approval of Proposition 50 in late 2025, which enacted new legislative maps replacing the prior independent commission lines for the 2026 cycle. The changes added Democratic-leaning areas such as parts of the Coachella Valley and north San Diego County while removing some Republican strongholds, converting the open seat—vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa—into a district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember backed by the DCCC Red to Blue program, advanced alongside Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects the structural advantage from redistricting and the open-seat dynamics, tempered by the remaining campaign period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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