Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent performance in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November general election, following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement. McKinney secured the top spot with approximately 35 percent of the vote against Duresky's 30 percent and other Republican contenders. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, with limited Democratic infrastructure in this rural, agricultural region. These structural factors and the primary outcome sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory in the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,189 Vol.
$45,189 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$45,189 Vol.
$45,189 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,205 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$20,984 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent performance in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November general election, following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement. McKinney secured the top spot with approximately 35 percent of the vote against Duresky's 30 percent and other Republican contenders. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, with limited Democratic infrastructure in this rural, agricultural region. These structural factors and the primary outcome sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$45,189Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent performance in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November general election, following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement. McKinney secured the top spot with approximately 35 percent of the vote against Duresky's 30 percent and other Republican contenders. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, with limited Democratic infrastructure in this rural, agricultural region. These structural factors and the primary outcome sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,189Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent performance in prior cycles. The August 4, 2026 top-two primary advanced Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky to the November general election, following incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement. McKinney secured the top spot with approximately 35 percent of the vote against Duresky's 30 percent and other Republican contenders. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, with limited Democratic infrastructure in this rural, agricultural region. These structural factors and the primary outcome sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory in the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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