Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott's long tenure since 1993 anchors trader sentiment in Virginia's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 that delivered him over 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in Hampton Roads areas including Norfolk and Newport News. Limited Republican fundraising and an uncontested Democratic primary reinforce the 94.5 percent implied probability. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$43,090 Vol.
$43,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$43,090 Vol.
$43,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$21,441 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$21,649 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott's long tenure since 1993 anchors trader sentiment in Virginia's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 that delivered him over 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in Hampton Roads areas including Norfolk and Newport News. Limited Republican fundraising and an uncontested Democratic primary reinforce the 94.5 percent implied probability. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$43,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott's long tenure since 1993 anchors trader sentiment in Virginia's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 that delivered him over 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in Hampton Roads areas including Norfolk and Newport News. Limited Republican fundraising and an uncontested Democratic primary reinforce the 94.5 percent implied probability. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott's long tenure since 1993 anchors trader sentiment in Virginia's 3rd congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 that delivered him over 70 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in Hampton Roads areas including Norfolk and Newport News. Limited Republican fundraising and an uncontested Democratic primary reinforce the 94.5 percent implied probability. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or extreme national partisan swing could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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