Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in rural Southside Virginia, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Tom Perriello. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical GOP performance. Traders price in an 81 percent chance of a Republican victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive balance before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$64,174 Vol.
$64,174 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
80%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$64,174 Vol.
$64,174 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$31,654 Vol.
80%
Partido Demócrata
$32,519 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in rural Southside Virginia, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Tom Perriello. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical GOP performance. Traders price in an 81 percent chance of a Republican victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$64,174Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in rural Southside Virginia, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Tom Perriello. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical GOP performance. Traders price in an 81 percent chance of a Republican victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$64,174Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in rural Southside Virginia, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Tom Perriello. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical GOP performance. Traders price in an 81 percent chance of a Republican victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive balance before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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