Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWelches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober das beste KI-Modell auf LiveBench (Mathematik)?
Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober das beste KI-Modell auf LiveBench (Mathematik)?
Anthropic 46%
Meta 38%
Z.ai 38%
Tencent 38%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
Anthropic
46%
Meta
38%
Z.ai
38%
Tencent
38%
Microsoft
37%
DeepSeek
36%
Moonshot
35%
OpenAI
32%
Alibaba
31%
Amazon
31%
Mistral
30%
Baidu
27%
MiniMax
24%
Nvidia
24%
ByteDance
23%
Thinky
19%
SpaceXAI
19%
StepFun
18%
Meituan
2%
30%
Xiaomi
37%
Anthropic 46%
Meta 38%
Z.ai 38%
Tencent 38%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
Anthropic
$62 Vol.
46%
Meta
$67 Vol.
38%
Z.ai
$62 Vol.
38%
Tencent
$62 Vol.
38%
Microsoft
$62 Vol.
37%
DeepSeek
$67 Vol.
36%
Moonshot
$62 Vol.
35%
OpenAI
$67 Vol.
32%
Alibaba
$62 Vol.
31%
Amazon
$62 Vol.
31%
Mistral
$62 Vol.
30%
Baidu
$62 Vol.
27%
MiniMax
$62 Vol.
24%
Nvidia
$62 Vol.
24%
ByteDance
$62 Vol.
23%
Thinky
$62 Vol.
19%
SpaceXAI
$62 Vol.
19%
StepFun
$67 Vol.
18%
Meituan
$62 Vol.
2%
$101 Vol.
30%
Xiaomi
$62 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,361Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volumen
$1,361Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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