Google's long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to face internal delays after missing June and July targets, with the latest July 21 releases featuring only Flash variants and no flagship Pro update. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-late August dates because recent reporting highlights shortfalls in coding performance and benchmark goals that require further refinement before a stable rollout via the Gemini API and app. Competitive pressure from rivals' rapid iterations, combined with Google's pattern of staged previews followed by general availability, creates uncertainty around exact timing. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference announcements or enterprise-first deployments that could shift the window before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAugust 10 36.4%
August 27 36%
August 13 32%
August 25 29%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
On or prior to August 1
1%
August 2
1%
August 3
-
August 4
28%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
28%
August 8
5%
August 9
6%
August 10
36%
August 11
36%
August 12
-
August 13
32%
August 14
22%
August 15
1%
August 16
11%
August 17
27%
August 18
28%
August 19
28%
August 20
28%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
28%
August 24
-
August 25
29%
August 26
-
August 27
36%
August 28
32%
August 29
17%
August 30
30%
August 31
-
No release by August 31
12%
August 10 36.4%
August 27 36%
August 13 32%
August 25 29%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
On or prior to August 1
$44 Vol.
1%
August 2
$274 Vol.
1%
August 3
$141 Vol.
-
August 4
$177 Vol.
28%
August 5
$382 Vol.
30%
August 6
$217 Vol.
6%
August 7
$377 Vol.
28%
August 8
$177 Vol.
5%
August 9
$196 Vol.
6%
August 10
$246 Vol.
36%
August 11
$177 Vol.
36%
August 12
$176 Vol.
-
August 13
$177 Vol.
32%
August 14
$177 Vol.
22%
August 15
$177 Vol.
1%
August 16
$177 Vol.
11%
August 17
$177 Vol.
27%
August 18
$177 Vol.
28%
August 19
$177 Vol.
28%
August 20
$177 Vol.
28%
August 21
$172 Vol.
-
August 22
$172 Vol.
-
August 23
$177 Vol.
28%
August 24
$177 Vol.
-
August 25
$177 Vol.
29%
August 26
$145 Vol.
-
August 27
$211 Vol.
36%
August 28
$177 Vol.
32%
August 29
$177 Vol.
17%
August 30
$177 Vol.
30%
August 31
$177 Vol.
-
No release by August 31
$794 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to face internal delays after missing June and July targets, with the latest July 21 releases featuring only Flash variants and no flagship Pro update. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-late August dates because recent reporting highlights shortfalls in coding performance and benchmark goals that require further refinement before a stable rollout via the Gemini API and app. Competitive pressure from rivals' rapid iterations, combined with Google's pattern of staged previews followed by general availability, creates uncertainty around exact timing. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference announcements or enterprise-first deployments that could shift the window before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volumen
$6,731Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to face internal delays after missing June and July targets, with the latest July 21 releases featuring only Flash variants and no flagship Pro update. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-late August dates because recent reporting highlights shortfalls in coding performance and benchmark goals that require further refinement before a stable rollout via the Gemini API and app. Competitive pressure from rivals' rapid iterations, combined with Google's pattern of staged previews followed by general availability, creates uncertainty around exact timing. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference announcements or enterprise-first deployments that could shift the window before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$6,731Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's long-promised Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to face internal delays after missing June and July targets, with the latest July 21 releases featuring only Flash variants and no flagship Pro update. Trader sentiment clusters around mid-to-late August dates because recent reporting highlights shortfalls in coding performance and benchmark goals that require further refinement before a stable rollout via the Gemini API and app. Competitive pressure from rivals' rapid iterations, combined with Google's pattern of staged previews followed by general availability, creates uncertainty around exact timing. Key swing factors include any surprise developer conference announcements or enterprise-first deployments that could shift the window before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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