Recent releases of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 have kept trader sentiment tightly balanced at 50% implied probability for OpenAI and several unnamed frontrunners on LiveBench Mathematics by end of August, with Anthropic at 39%. These frontier large language models demonstrate comparable gains in reasoning depth and contest-level problem solving through scaled test-time compute and hybrid architectures, outpacing earlier 2025 baselines. DeepSeek's V4 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 updates add pressure via strong open-weight and multimodal math performance, though at lower odds around 22%. LiveBench's monthly fresh-question format rewards models that generalize without contamination, leaving room for last-minute fine-tunes or effort-level optimizations before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
DeepSeek 21%
Xiaomi 21%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
OpenAI
47%
Anthropic
34%
DeepSeek
21%
Xiaomi
21%
ByteDance
18%
SpaceXAI
13%
Meta
13%
Moonshot
13%
Alibaba
12%
10%
Baidu
8%
Z.ai
8%
Thinky
6%
Nvidia
7%
Mistral
3%
Tencent
3%
Amazon
3%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
MiniMax
1%
OpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
DeepSeek 21%
Xiaomi 21%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
OpenAI
$128 Vol.
47%
Anthropic
$106 Vol.
34%
DeepSeek
$67 Vol.
21%
Xiaomi
$67 Vol.
21%
ByteDance
$89 Vol.
18%
SpaceXAI
$67 Vol.
13%
Meta
$67 Vol.
13%
Moonshot
$67 Vol.
13%
Alibaba
$67 Vol.
12%
$67 Vol.
10%
Baidu
$67 Vol.
8%
Z.ai
$67 Vol.
8%
Thinky
$138 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$138 Vol.
7%
Mistral
$75 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$75 Vol.
3%
Amazon
$81 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$83 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$85 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$92 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$92 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 have kept trader sentiment tightly balanced at 50% implied probability for OpenAI and several unnamed frontrunners on LiveBench Mathematics by end of August, with Anthropic at 39%. These frontier large language models demonstrate comparable gains in reasoning depth and contest-level problem solving through scaled test-time compute and hybrid architectures, outpacing earlier 2025 baselines. DeepSeek's V4 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 updates add pressure via strong open-weight and multimodal math performance, though at lower odds around 22%. LiveBench's monthly fresh-question format rewards models that generalize without contamination, leaving room for last-minute fine-tunes or effort-level optimizations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$1,785Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 have kept trader sentiment tightly balanced at 50% implied probability for OpenAI and several unnamed frontrunners on LiveBench Mathematics by end of August, with Anthropic at 39%. These frontier large language models demonstrate comparable gains in reasoning depth and contest-level problem solving through scaled test-time compute and hybrid architectures, outpacing earlier 2025 baselines. DeepSeek's V4 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 updates add pressure via strong open-weight and multimodal math performance, though at lower odds around 22%. LiveBench's monthly fresh-question format rewards models that generalize without contamination, leaving room for last-minute fine-tunes or effort-level optimizations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volumen
$1,785Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 have kept trader sentiment tightly balanced at 50% implied probability for OpenAI and several unnamed frontrunners on LiveBench Mathematics by end of August, with Anthropic at 39%. These frontier large language models demonstrate comparable gains in reasoning depth and contest-level problem solving through scaled test-time compute and hybrid architectures, outpacing earlier 2025 baselines. DeepSeek's V4 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 updates add pressure via strong open-weight and multimodal math performance, though at lower odds around 22%. LiveBench's monthly fresh-question format rewards models that generalize without contamination, leaving room for last-minute fine-tunes or effort-level optimizations before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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