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Politik·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politik·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Vol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Vol.

10%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,171 Vol.

5%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Vol.

4%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$121,787
Enddatum
31. März 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$121,787
Enddatum
31. März 2028
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alberto Núñez Feijóo" mit 80%, gefolgt von „Pedro Sánchez" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $121.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 26, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Spain?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ist „Alberto Núñez Feijóo" mit 80%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Pedro Sánchez" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of Spain?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.