Dan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Dan Patrick (R)
77%

Vikki Goodwin (D)
21%

Dan Patrick (R)
77%

Vikki Goodwin (D)
21%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Dan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen