Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno
Politik·Midterms

Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno

icon for Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno
Politik·Midterms

Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

$1,587 Vol.

68%

icon for Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

$1,264 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Fresno County winner in California’s November 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his primary performance where he captured the largest share of votes in the county amid a crowded field. Fresno’s Central Valley electorate has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent statewide contests, and Hilton’s platform emphasizing tax cuts, reduced regulations, and lower energy costs aligns with local priorities on affordability and agriculture. Xavier Becerra trails as the Democratic nominee, benefiting from statewide name recognition but facing structural headwinds in this Republican-leaning area. With the general election two months away, limited late developments have shifted positioning, leaving the county outcome closely tied to broader turnout patterns and any final campaign messaging on cost-of-living issues.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Volumen
$2,851
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Fresno County winner in California’s November 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his primary performance where he captured the largest share of votes in the county amid a crowded field. Fresno’s Central Valley electorate has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent statewide contests, and Hilton’s platform emphasizing tax cuts, reduced regulations, and lower energy costs aligns with local priorities on affordability and agriculture. Xavier Becerra trails as the Democratic nominee, benefiting from statewide name recognition but facing structural headwinds in this Republican-leaning area. With the general election two months away, limited late developments have shifted positioning, leaving the county outcome closely tied to broader turnout patterns and any final campaign messaging on cost-of-living issues.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Volumen
$2,851
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Xavier Becerra die Gouverneurswahl in Kalifornien 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Xavier Becerra die Gouverneurswahl in Kalifornien 2026 gewinnen?

96%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten den Maricopa County bei der Gouverneurswahl in Arizona 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten den Maricopa County bei der Gouverneurswahl in Arizona 2026 gewinnen?

88%
Ja
icon for Wird Bruce Blakeman den Bezirk Nassau bei der Gouverneurswahl in New York 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Bruce Blakeman den Bezirk Nassau bei der Gouverneurswahl in New York 2026 gewinnen?

85%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Steve Hilton" mit 68%, gefolgt von „Xavier Becerra" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno" ist „Steve Hilton" mit 68%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Xavier Becerra" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahl zum Gouverneur von Kalifornien: Gewinner des Bezirks Fresno" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.