Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors trader expectations in MA-02, where the district's consistent Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and prior election margins above 30 points—drives the 94.5% consensus for the party. Central Massachusetts voters, including those in Worcester, have delivered reliable support for Democratic House candidates amid limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Primary filing deadlines and September 1 contests show no competitive challenges emerging. Shifts could occur from a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or major redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similarly safe seats indicate such developments rarely overcome structural advantages before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-02 Wahlsieger
MA-02 Wahlsieger
$49,803 Vol.
$49,803 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$49,803 Vol.
$49,803 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$32,718 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$17,085 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors trader expectations in MA-02, where the district's consistent Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and prior election margins above 30 points—drives the 94.5% consensus for the party. Central Massachusetts voters, including those in Worcester, have delivered reliable support for Democratic House candidates amid limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Primary filing deadlines and September 1 contests show no competitive challenges emerging. Shifts could occur from a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or major redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similarly safe seats indicate such developments rarely overcome structural advantages before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$49,803Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors trader expectations in MA-02, where the district's consistent Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and prior election margins above 30 points—drives the 94.5% consensus for the party. Central Massachusetts voters, including those in Worcester, have delivered reliable support for Democratic House candidates amid limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Primary filing deadlines and September 1 contests show no competitive challenges emerging. Shifts could occur from a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or major redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similarly safe seats indicate such developments rarely overcome structural advantages before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$49,803Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors trader expectations in MA-02, where the district's consistent Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and prior election margins above 30 points—drives the 94.5% consensus for the party. Central Massachusetts voters, including those in Worcester, have delivered reliable support for Democratic House candidates amid limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Primary filing deadlines and September 1 contests show no competitive challenges emerging. Shifts could occur from a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or major redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similarly safe seats indicate such developments rarely overcome structural advantages before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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