Texas's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat in the Houston area, where historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and recent redistricting have preserved a wide partisan advantage for the party. Incumbent Representative Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite boundary changes that introduced new voters, reflecting sustained support among core constituencies. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent as a result, consistent with the seat's established lean and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually large national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics in November 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-29 Wahlsieger
TX-29 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$4,232 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$2,124 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat in the Houston area, where historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and recent redistricting have preserved a wide partisan advantage for the party. Incumbent Representative Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite boundary changes that introduced new voters, reflecting sustained support among core constituencies. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent as a result, consistent with the seat's established lean and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually large national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$6,355Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat in the Houston area, where historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and recent redistricting have preserved a wide partisan advantage for the party. Incumbent Representative Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite boundary changes that introduced new voters, reflecting sustained support among core constituencies. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent as a result, consistent with the seat's established lean and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually large national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,355Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat in the Houston area, where historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and recent redistricting have preserved a wide partisan advantage for the party. Incumbent Representative Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite boundary changes that introduced new voters, reflecting sustained support among core constituencies. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent as a result, consistent with the seat's established lean and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unusually large national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics in November 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen