Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index and South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, have historically supported Democratic performance in federal contests, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005 and established local networks provide additional structural advantages, while Tijerina’s primary victory positions him as the main challenger in a seat rated Lean Democratic or Toss Up by forecasters. Limited new polling or campaign developments since the spring primaries have kept the implied probability stable, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline outlook ahead of the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-28 Wahlsieger
TX-28 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
82%
Republikanische Partei
18%
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$2,266 Vol.
82%
Republikanische Partei
$2,330 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index and South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, have historically supported Democratic performance in federal contests, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005 and established local networks provide additional structural advantages, while Tijerina’s primary victory positions him as the main challenger in a seat rated Lean Democratic or Toss Up by forecasters. Limited new polling or campaign developments since the spring primaries have kept the implied probability stable, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline outlook ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$4,597Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index and South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, have historically supported Democratic performance in federal contests, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005 and established local networks provide additional structural advantages, while Tijerina’s primary victory positions him as the main challenger in a seat rated Lean Democratic or Toss Up by forecasters. Limited new polling or campaign developments since the spring primaries have kept the implied probability stable, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline outlook ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,597Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index and South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate, have historically supported Democratic performance in federal contests, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cuellar’s incumbency since 2005 and established local networks provide additional structural advantages, while Tijerina’s primary victory positions him as the main challenger in a seat rated Lean Democratic or Toss Up by forecasters. Limited new polling or campaign developments since the spring primaries have kept the implied probability stable, with no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline outlook ahead of the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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