Republican incumbency and the 2025 Texas congressional redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning districts underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the TX-12 House seat. Craig Goldman secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition, while Democratic nominee Angela Rodriguez Prilliman faces limited fundraising and a district rated Solid Republican or Lean R by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, suburban Fort Worth demographics, and border-security priorities among voters further reinforce the position. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-12 Wahlsieger
TX-12 Wahlsieger
$18,553 Vol.
$18,553 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$18,553 Vol.
$18,553 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,935 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$9,618 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbency and the 2025 Texas congressional redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning districts underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the TX-12 House seat. Craig Goldman secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition, while Democratic nominee Angela Rodriguez Prilliman faces limited fundraising and a district rated Solid Republican or Lean R by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, suburban Fort Worth demographics, and border-security priorities among voters further reinforce the position. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$18,553Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbency and the 2025 Texas congressional redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning districts underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the TX-12 House seat. Craig Goldman secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition, while Democratic nominee Angela Rodriguez Prilliman faces limited fundraising and a district rated Solid Republican or Lean R by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, suburban Fort Worth demographics, and border-security priorities among voters further reinforce the position. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,553Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbency and the 2025 Texas congressional redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning districts underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% for the TX-12 House seat. Craig Goldman secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition, while Democratic nominee Angela Rodriguez Prilliman faces limited fundraising and a district rated Solid Republican or Lean R by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, suburban Fort Worth demographics, and border-security priorities among voters further reinforce the position. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 2026 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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