NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, even as an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election. The June 23, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien for the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican at roughly 70 percent reflects the district’s consistent historical performance for GOP candidates, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of major recent polling or national developments shifting the race into competitive territory. Gendebien’s primary win consolidated the Democratic field but has not altered the underlying partisan math that favors Constantino in this rural, conservative-leaning area.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-21 Wahlsieger
NY-21 Wahlsieger
$60,505 Vol.
$60,505 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
71%
Demokratische Partei
29%
$60,505 Vol.
$60,505 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$30,789 Vol.
71%
Demokratische Partei
$29,716 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, even as an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election. The June 23, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien for the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican at roughly 70 percent reflects the district’s consistent historical performance for GOP candidates, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of major recent polling or national developments shifting the race into competitive territory. Gendebien’s primary win consolidated the Democratic field but has not altered the underlying partisan math that favors Constantino in this rural, conservative-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$60,505Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, even as an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election. The June 23, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien for the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican at roughly 70 percent reflects the district’s consistent historical performance for GOP candidates, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of major recent polling or national developments shifting the race into competitive territory. Gendebien’s primary win consolidated the Democratic field but has not altered the underlying partisan math that favors Constantino in this rural, conservative-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$60,505Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, even as an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election. The June 23, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Anthony Constantino and Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien for the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican at roughly 70 percent reflects the district’s consistent historical performance for GOP candidates, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of major recent polling or national developments shifting the race into competitive territory. Gendebien’s primary win consolidated the Democratic field but has not altered the underlying partisan math that favors Constantino in this rural, conservative-leaning area.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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