Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd congressional district, a Northeast Indiana seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 that encompasses the Fort Wayne area. Stutzman secured renomination in the May 2026 Republican primary by a wide margin and previously won the general election with 65 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee, Kelly Thompson, has raised minimal funds compared with the incumbent, while independent write-in candidate Phillip Beachy poses no serious threat. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Republican Party reflects this structural advantage and limited path for Democratic gains absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or late national wave that alters the district’s longstanding partisan balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIN-03 Wahlsieger
IN-03 Wahlsieger
$23,967 Vol.
$23,967 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
96%
Demokratische Partei
5%
$23,967 Vol.
$23,967 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$4,661 Vol.
96%
Demokratische Partei
$19,306 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd congressional district, a Northeast Indiana seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 that encompasses the Fort Wayne area. Stutzman secured renomination in the May 2026 Republican primary by a wide margin and previously won the general election with 65 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee, Kelly Thompson, has raised minimal funds compared with the incumbent, while independent write-in candidate Phillip Beachy poses no serious threat. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Republican Party reflects this structural advantage and limited path for Democratic gains absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or late national wave that alters the district’s longstanding partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,967Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd congressional district, a Northeast Indiana seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 that encompasses the Fort Wayne area. Stutzman secured renomination in the May 2026 Republican primary by a wide margin and previously won the general election with 65 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee, Kelly Thompson, has raised minimal funds compared with the incumbent, while independent write-in candidate Phillip Beachy poses no serious threat. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Republican Party reflects this structural advantage and limited path for Democratic gains absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or late national wave that alters the district’s longstanding partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,967Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 3rd congressional district, a Northeast Indiana seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 that encompasses the Fort Wayne area. Stutzman secured renomination in the May 2026 Republican primary by a wide margin and previously won the general election with 65 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee, Kelly Thompson, has raised minimal funds compared with the incumbent, while independent write-in candidate Phillip Beachy poses no serious threat. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Republican Party reflects this structural advantage and limited path for Democratic gains absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or late national wave that alters the district’s longstanding partisan balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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