**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$292,452 Vol.
$292,452 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
78%
Tom Tiffany (R)
24%
$292,452 Vol.
$292,452 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$110,502 Vol.
78%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$181,949 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus.
Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$292,452Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus.
Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$292,452Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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