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icon for Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?
Politik·Marge

Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?

icon for Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?
Politik·Marge

Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?

Peltola 3–6 % 31%

Peltola 6–9 % 16%

Sullivan <3% 13%

Peltola <3% 13%

Polymarket
NEU

Peltola 3–6 % 31%

Peltola 6–9 % 16%

Sullivan <3% 13%

Peltola <3% 13%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Peltola 15%+

Peltola 15%+

$195 Vol.

8%

icon for Peltola 12–15 %

Peltola 12–15 %

$159 Vol.

10%

icon for Peltola 9–12 %

Peltola 9–12 %

$159 Vol.

10%

icon for Peltola 6–9 %

Peltola 6–9 %

$385 Vol.

16%

icon for Peltola 3–6 %

Peltola 3–6 %

$951 Vol.

31%

icon for Peltola <3%

Peltola <3%

$199 Vol.

13%

icon for Sullivan <3%

Sullivan <3%

$159 Vol.

13%

icon for Sullivan 3–6 %

Sullivan 3–6 %

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for Sullivan 6–9 %

Sullivan 6–9 %

$299 Vol.

7%

icon for Sullivan 9–12%

Sullivan 9–12%

$327 Vol.

7%

icon for Sullivan 12 %+

Sullivan 12 %+

$332 Vol.

6%

The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested August 18 top-four primary between incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan seeking a third term and Democratic challenger former Rep. Mary Peltola drives the current market positioning. Peltola’s substantial fundraising edge, reported at roughly $6.9 million since April compared with Sullivan’s $2 million, along with her grassroots and labor support, has kept the race tight according to recent surveys. A same-name Republican primary opponent cleared by the Alaska Supreme Court adds ballot confusion that could fragment Republican votes and compress victory margins. Alaska’s open primary system and upcoming ranked-choice general election further heighten uncertainty over exact spreads, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics in the leading outcomes for modest Peltola advantages or other results.

The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$3,505
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested August 18 top-four primary between incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan seeking a third term and Democratic challenger former Rep. Mary Peltola drives the current market positioning. Peltola’s substantial fundraising edge, reported at roughly $6.9 million since April compared with Sullivan’s $2 million, along with her grassroots and labor support, has kept the race tight according to recent surveys. A same-name Republican primary opponent cleared by the Alaska Supreme Court adds ballot confusion that could fragment Republican votes and compress victory margins. Alaska’s open primary system and upcoming ranked-choice general election further heighten uncertainty over exact spreads, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamics in the leading outcomes for modest Peltola advantages or other results.

The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$3,505
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Mary Peltola in der letzten Runde der Vorwahl zum Senat in Alaska die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Mary Peltola in der letzten Runde der Vorwahl zum Senat in Alaska die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

87%
Ja
icon for Wird Peggy Flanagan die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat von Minnesota mit 15–20 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird Peggy Flanagan die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat von Minnesota mit 15–20 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird Abdul El-Sayed die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat in Michigan mit weniger als 5 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird Abdul El-Sayed die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat in Michigan mit weniger als 5 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

100%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Peltola 3–6 %" mit 31%, gefolgt von „Peltola 6–9 %" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 31¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Alaska Senat Vorwahl: Marge des Sieges?" ist „Peltola 3–6 %" mit 31%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Peltola 6–9 %" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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