The 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on September 20 features AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in the 71-member Landtag. Recent INSA and other polls place AfD at approximately 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with Die Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. AfD support has roughly doubled since the 2021 result of 16.7 percent, reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid broader national trends. The SPD–Left coalition government faces these headwinds despite the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. With just over a month until voting, the market's heavy weighting toward AfD winning the plurality aligns with polling stability and the absence of major shifts that would reopen a path for another party to lead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMecklenburg-Vorpommern Wahlsieger
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Wahlsieger
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,070 Vol.
$456,070 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,070 Vol.
$456,070 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
AfD
$79,841 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,548 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).The 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on September 20 features AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in the 71-member Landtag. Recent INSA and other polls place AfD at approximately 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with Die Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. AfD support has roughly doubled since the 2021 result of 16.7 percent, reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid broader national trends. The SPD–Left coalition government faces these headwinds despite the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. With just over a month until voting, the market's heavy weighting toward AfD winning the plurality aligns with polling stability and the absence of major shifts that would reopen a path for another party to lead.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$456,070Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).The 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on September 20 features AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in the 71-member Landtag. Recent INSA and other polls place AfD at approximately 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with Die Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. AfD support has roughly doubled since the 2021 result of 16.7 percent, reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid broader national trends. The SPD–Left coalition government faces these headwinds despite the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. With just over a month until voting, the market's heavy weighting toward AfD winning the plurality aligns with polling stability and the absence of major shifts that would reopen a path for another party to lead.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$456,070Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on September 20 features AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in the 71-member Landtag. Recent INSA and other polls place AfD at approximately 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with Die Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. AfD support has roughly doubled since the 2021 result of 16.7 percent, reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid broader national trends. The SPD–Left coalition government faces these headwinds despite the personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. With just over a month until voting, the market's heavy weighting toward AfD winning the plurality aligns with polling stability and the absence of major shifts that would reopen a path for another party to lead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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