Ciro Gomes (PSDB) commands the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor, recent polling leads in first-round scenarios, and decision to prioritize the state contest over a national presidential bid. Multiple May 2026 surveys, including Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec, place him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with margins reflecting voter familiarity and party realignment after Gomes rejoined PSDB. Lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in the same polls, limiting their implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCeará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 5%
Camilo Santana 3.7%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,074 Vol.
$74,074 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
76%

Elmano de Freitas
5%

Camilo Santana
4%

Roberto Cláudio
1%

Eduardo Girão
1%

Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 5%
Camilo Santana 3.7%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,074 Vol.
$74,074 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
76%

Elmano de Freitas
5%

Camilo Santana
4%

Roberto Cláudio
1%

Eduardo Girão
1%

Capitão Wagner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) commands the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his established regional profile as a former state governor, recent polling leads in first-round scenarios, and decision to prioritize the state contest over a national presidential bid. Multiple May 2026 surveys, including Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec, place him ahead of or tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), with margins reflecting voter familiarity and party realignment after Gomes rejoined PSDB. Lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in the same polls, limiting their implied probabilities ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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