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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk
Politik·Hauptwahl

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk
Politik·Hauptwahl

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk

Flavio Bolsonaro 79%

Lula 20%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Flavio Bolsonaro 79%

Lula 20%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,479 Vol.

79%

icon for Lula

Lula

$793 Vol.

20%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$148 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$242 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$242 Vol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$273 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$264 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$223 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$195 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$223 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$276 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$264 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$170 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for first place in the Federal District’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the region’s consistent right-leaning electorate and his status as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed to continue the family political project. A late-July to early-August local poll showed him statistically tied with Lula at roughly 33 percent each, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, while national surveys continue to favor the incumbent. June audio revelations linking Bolsonaro to a banker and a temporary rift with Michelle Bolsonaro weighed on his broader numbers, yet these developments appear to have limited lasting effect among Distrito Federal voters. Upcoming debates and the final registration window keep the field fluid, with lower-polling names facing structural barriers to overtaking the top two.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,792
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader expectations for first place in the Federal District’s October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the region’s consistent right-leaning electorate and his status as the Liberal Party nominee endorsed to continue the family political project. A late-July to early-August local poll showed him statistically tied with Lula at roughly 33 percent each, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, while national surveys continue to favor the incumbent. June audio revelations linking Bolsonaro to a banker and a temporary rift with Michelle Bolsonaro weighed on his broader numbers, yet these developments appear to have limited lasting effect among Distrito Federal voters. Upcoming debates and the final registration window keep the field fluid, with lower-polling names facing structural barriers to overtaking the top two.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,792
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

86%
Ja
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

64%
icon for Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den dritten Platz belegen?

53%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 79%, gefolgt von „Lula" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 79¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk" ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 79%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz im Bundesbezirk" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.