Recent polls show the SPD holding steady at 28-29% support in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, down from its 2021 result and trailing the AfD by 6-8 points. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s party has gained modestly in the latest Infratest dimap survey while the AfD remains stable near 36%, with Die Linke at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%. These figures point to an SPD seat total in the low-to-mid 20s under standard seat allocation rules for the 71-member parliament. Traders price the 22-25 seat range highest because the current polling average and minimal recent movement leave little room for the SPD to reach the 30-seat threshold or fall below 22 without a sharp late swing. The campaign remains focused on coalition arithmetic and turnout among eastern German voters, with no major scandals or shifts reported in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahlen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: SPD-Sitzanzahl?
Parlamentswahlen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: SPD-Sitzanzahl?
22-25 62%
18-21 16%
26-29 15%
30-33 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
<18
1%
18-21
16%
22-25
62%
26-29
15%
30-33
12%
34+
1%
22-25 62%
18-21 16%
26-29 15%
30-33 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
<18
$602 Vol.
1%
18-21
$251 Vol.
16%
22-25
$1,028 Vol.
62%
26-29
$251 Vol.
15%
30-33
$95 Vol.
12%
34+
$306 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD holding steady at 28-29% support in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, down from its 2021 result and trailing the AfD by 6-8 points. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s party has gained modestly in the latest Infratest dimap survey while the AfD remains stable near 36%, with Die Linke at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%. These figures point to an SPD seat total in the low-to-mid 20s under standard seat allocation rules for the 71-member parliament. Traders price the 22-25 seat range highest because the current polling average and minimal recent movement leave little room for the SPD to reach the 30-seat threshold or fall below 22 without a sharp late swing. The campaign remains focused on coalition arithmetic and turnout among eastern German voters, with no major scandals or shifts reported in the past month.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volumen
$2,532Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the SPD holding steady at 28-29% support in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, down from its 2021 result and trailing the AfD by 6-8 points. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s party has gained modestly in the latest Infratest dimap survey while the AfD remains stable near 36%, with Die Linke at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%. These figures point to an SPD seat total in the low-to-mid 20s under standard seat allocation rules for the 71-member parliament. Traders price the 22-25 seat range highest because the current polling average and minimal recent movement leave little room for the SPD to reach the 30-seat threshold or fall below 22 without a sharp late swing. The campaign remains focused on coalition arithmetic and turnout among eastern German voters, with no major scandals or shifts reported in the past month.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$2,532Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the SPD holding steady at 28-29% support in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, down from its 2021 result and trailing the AfD by 6-8 points. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s party has gained modestly in the latest Infratest dimap survey while the AfD remains stable near 36%, with Die Linke at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%. These figures point to an SPD seat total in the low-to-mid 20s under standard seat allocation rules for the 71-member parliament. Traders price the 22-25 seat range highest because the current polling average and minimal recent movement leave little room for the SPD to reach the 30-seat threshold or fall below 22 without a sharp late swing. The campaign remains focused on coalition arithmetic and turnout among eastern German voters, with no major scandals or shifts reported in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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