Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc hovering near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projections typically landing between four and seven seats. The September 1 agreement to run jointly as a bloc has provided a modest lift by consolidating overlapping religious Zionist and nationalist voters, yet competition from Ofer Winter’s new list and other right-wing fragments continues to split that base. Broader bloc dynamics, including Likud’s positioning and ultra-Orthodox performance, further influence allocation within the right. Traders price the outcome evenly across the four-to-nine seat range because small shifts in turnout or last-minute list adjustments could easily move the combined list across those boundaries before final results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert4-5 26%
6-7 26%
8-9 26%
<4 20%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
20%
4-5
26%
6-7
26%
8-9
26%
10+
19%
4-5 26%
6-7 26%
8-9 26%
<4 20%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
20%
4-5
$0 Vol.
26%
6-7
$0 Vol.
26%
8-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10+
$0 Vol.
19%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc hovering near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projections typically landing between four and seven seats. The September 1 agreement to run jointly as a bloc has provided a modest lift by consolidating overlapping religious Zionist and nationalist voters, yet competition from Ofer Winter’s new list and other right-wing fragments continues to split that base. Broader bloc dynamics, including Likud’s positioning and ultra-Orthodox performance, further influence allocation within the right. Traders price the outcome evenly across the four-to-nine seat range because small shifts in turnout or last-minute list adjustments could easily move the combined list across those boundaries before final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc hovering near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projections typically landing between four and seven seats. The September 1 agreement to run jointly as a bloc has provided a modest lift by consolidating overlapping religious Zionist and nationalist voters, yet competition from Ofer Winter’s new list and other right-wing fragments continues to split that base. Broader bloc dynamics, including Likud’s positioning and ultra-Orthodox performance, further influence allocation within the right. Traders price the outcome evenly across the four-to-nine seat range because small shifts in turnout or last-minute list adjustments could easily move the combined list across those boundaries before final results.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc hovering near or just above the 3.25% electoral threshold, with projections typically landing between four and seven seats. The September 1 agreement to run jointly as a bloc has provided a modest lift by consolidating overlapping religious Zionist and nationalist voters, yet competition from Ofer Winter’s new list and other right-wing fragments continues to split that base. Broader bloc dynamics, including Likud’s positioning and ultra-Orthodox performance, further influence allocation within the right. Traders price the outcome evenly across the four-to-nine seat range because small shifts in turnout or last-minute list adjustments could easily move the combined list across those boundaries before final results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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