Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 7. September?
17°C oder weniger 69%
27°C oder höher 59%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
17°C oder weniger
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
59%
17°C oder weniger 69%
27°C oder höher 59%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
17°C oder weniger
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen