Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 5 point to a daytime high near 32–33°C, driven by scattered showers, persistent cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn monsoon influences, which limit surface heating. Official observations through midday showed temperatures reaching the low 30s amid 40–50% precipitation chances and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 September 5 average high of 32.7°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C or 35°C likely incorporates uncertainty in model runs, potential breaks in cloud cover allowing brief intensification, or the urban heat island effect amplifying peaks at official stations. Resolution hinges on the final China Meteorological Administration reading, with any late-day clearing or model shifts capable of nudging outcomes higher before settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 5. September?
34°C 47%
33°C 31%
35°C 30%
36°C 3.7%
$57,946 Vol.
$57,946 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
27%
34°C
44%
35°C
25%
36°C
4%
37°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 47%
33°C 31%
35°C 30%
36°C 3.7%
$57,946 Vol.
$57,946 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
27%
34°C
44%
35°C
25%
36°C
4%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 5 point to a daytime high near 32–33°C, driven by scattered showers, persistent cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early autumn monsoon influences, which limit surface heating. Official observations through midday showed temperatures reaching the low 30s amid 40–50% precipitation chances and light winds, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 September 5 average high of 32.7°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C or 35°C likely incorporates uncertainty in model runs, potential breaks in cloud cover allowing brief intensification, or the urban heat island effect amplifying peaks at official stations. Resolution hinges on the final China Meteorological Administration reading, with any late-day clearing or model shifts capable of nudging outcomes higher before settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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