**Official forecasts and real-time observations position 30°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 5 high.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project a daily maximum of 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h and moderate humidity near 60–70%. Current midday readings hover near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s 84% implied probability for 30°C and 17% for 31°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where highs typically range 27–30°C before cooler autumn patterns strengthen. Light rain chances (30–45%) and cloud cover may cap further warming, while the absence of a strong heat dome or cold front keeps temperatures stable near these levels. Updated model runs and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 5. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 5. September?
30°C 91%
31°C 5%
32°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
$52,305 Vol.
$52,305 Vol.
5. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
89%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 91%
31°C 5%
32°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
$52,305 Vol.
$52,305 Vol.
5. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$797 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,770 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,944 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,822 Vol.
89%
31°C
$10,635 Vol.
5%
32°C
$7,186 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and real-time observations position 30°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 5 high.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project a daily maximum of 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h and moderate humidity near 60–70%. Current midday readings hover near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s 84% implied probability for 30°C and 17% for 31°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where highs typically range 27–30°C before cooler autumn patterns strengthen. Light rain chances (30–45%) and cloud cover may cap further warming, while the absence of a strong heat dome or cold front keeps temperatures stable near these levels. Updated model runs and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$52,305Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and real-time observations position 30°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 5 high.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project a daily maximum of 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h and moderate humidity near 60–70%. Current midday readings hover near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s 84% implied probability for 30°C and 17% for 31°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where highs typically range 27–30°C before cooler autumn patterns strengthen. Light rain chances (30–45%) and cloud cover may cap further warming, while the absence of a strong heat dome or cold front keeps temperatures stable near these levels. Updated model runs and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$52,305Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts and real-time observations position 30°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 5 high.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, project a daily maximum of 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h and moderate humidity near 60–70%. Current midday readings hover near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s 84% implied probability for 30°C and 17% for 31°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where highs typically range 27–30°C before cooler autumn patterns strengthen. Light rain chances (30–45%) and cloud cover may cap further warming, while the absence of a strong heat dome or cold front keeps temperatures stable near these levels. Updated model runs and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen